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FDJU:EURONEXT PARISFDJ United Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-05 - not real-time

€22.32

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FDJ UNITED trades at €22.32, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of €55.9, suggesting a material valuation gap. The stock sits just above its technical support of €20.61 and exhibits a bullish MACD signal despite a broader bearish trend, while the RSI is neutral at 49. Earnings are set to accelerate, reflected by a forward P/E of 8.27 versus a trailing P/E of 23.5, and revenue is growing at 10.6% YoY. However, the dividend yield is exceptionally high at 9.41% but the payout ratio exceeds 200%, raising concerns about sustainability. Leverage is elevated with a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 230%, though the company’s beta (~0.4) indicates low market volatility, and the 30‑day volatility sits at a moderate 16.8%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above the €20.61 support level
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite a bearish trend
  • High dividend yield but unsustainable payout ratio

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 8.27 indicating earnings acceleration
  • Analyst consensus upside of ~20% and DCF fair value gap
  • Revenue growth of 10.6% and solid operating margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic expansion through international lottery and online gaming
  • Stable cash generation (operating cash flow €837M) supporting debt repayment
  • Low beta and moderate volatility reducing market‑related risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.60%
Profit Margin4.78%
P/E Ratio23.5
ROE16.25%
ROA5.70%
Debt/Equity232.45
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow€837.0M
Free Cash Flow€578.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.1
Support€20.61
Resistance€23.63
MA 20€22.33
MA 50€22.77
MA 200€24.29
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Valuation

Fair Value€55.91
Target Price€26.81
Upside/Downside20.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield9.41%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.41
Volatility16.80%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.